Suozzi Leads in New Poll, More Good Economic News, A New Pew Hispanic Report, Rs Had A Bad Week

With Dems Today at 1pm EST, Tom Suozzi Joins Us Wed at 8pm EST

SIMON ROSENBERG

JAN 19, 2024

Friends, a few things today on a snowy Friday here in DC: 

With Dems Today at 1pm EST – Come join me for my signature presentation, “With Democrats, Things Get Better” today at 1pm EST. Consider With Dems a 30 minute orientation to the thinking behind Hopium. Try to catch it live today or I will be sending out a recording tomorrow morning. It is new and fresh each time I present it so even if you have seen it before you will see lots of new data and insights. 

You can learn more about With Dems here, and register here for today’s presentation. This is a bit of a must watch for all the budding information warriors out there. See you at 1pm! 

Tom Suozzi Leads In New Poll, Early Mail Ballots Are Promising – It’s not been a very good week for Republicans. First, the terrible turnout in Iowa. Next, Rs lost a house special they planned on keeping in Orlando. Then, the undiscplined and impulsive former President reminded us that a jury of his peers has already determined he raped E. Jean Carroll in a department store dressing room, and that he is the most unfit man to ever run for President; more good economic news just kept coming all week and the Rs case against Joe Biden just keeps melting away; their party splintered again over funding the government, and the new Speaker may already be in trouble; and now the Democrats come out of the gate strong in NY-3…..

The first poll in the GOP held former Santos seat in NY-3 has Tom Suozzi leading 45%-42%. Among very likely voters Suozzi leads 51%-37%: 

Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College polling, said: “Suozzi voters currently express heightened enthusiasm, with a majority of those ‘very likely’ voters to vote on February 13th favoring 51% to 37%.” 

Our friend Tom Bonier reports that we also see this heigthened Dem enthusiasm in the first batch of mail ballots: 

This is encouraging news my friends. My hope is that every member of our community takes an action for Tom in th next few days. Here’s here how you can help: 

Donate – Learn More – Get Updates – Canvass – Make Calls – Write Postcards

And thanks to all of you who have already helped Tom. We can win this race, as we won in Orlando, Virginia, Ohio, Jacksonville, Colorado Springs, Wisconsin and so many other places in the last 18 months – we just have to put our head down, and keep doing the work. For here at Hopium we do more, worry less. 

Tom Suozzi joins us our monthly Hopium community wide gathering next Wed night at 8pm.  Register here. Excited Tom is willing to take some time off the trail and speak to our community. Sign up and join us. We can do this people!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Tom Keen Is Now A State Rep, Working For The Good People of Florida – Great Work Everyone! – Here’s some video of Tom walking into his first caucus meeting with our friend and rising star Dem House Leader Fentrice Driskell: 

I’ve watched this video like ten times. Our work matters people. 

Jobless Claims Fall, More Encouraging News – From Reuters

WASHINGTON, Jan 18 (Reuters) – The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to the lowest level in nearly 1-1/2 years, suggesting job growth likely remained solid in January.

The unexpected decline in initial claims reported by the Labor Department on Thursday added to strong retail sales growth in December in painting an upbeat picture of the economy….

“The labor market remains strong and reinforces our view that the Fed is likely to hold rates at current levels until the middle of 2024,” said Eugenio Aleman, chief economist at Raymond James.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 16,000 to a seasonally adjusted 187,000 for the week ended Jan. 13, the lowest level since September 2022. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 207,000 claims for the latest week….

While that could have contributed to some of the drop in claims, economists said the data was consistent with a fairly tight labor market. They noted that companies generally remained reluctant to lay off workers following difficulties finding labor during and after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Related Hopium work: 

Pew Hispanic Releases New Data About The Hispanic Electorate – The Pew Hispanic center just released a new report, “Key Facts About Hispanic Eligable Voters in 2024.” The report is well worth reviewing. Two key charts: 

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